CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2025-03-28T15:24:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2025-03-28T15:24ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/38071/-1
CME Note: This event is visible to the east/northeast in SOHO LASCO C2 and STEREO A COR2 imagery. This CME is still developing and only early imagery is available as a result. The source is related to an eruption and X1.1 flare from Active Region 14046 starting around 2025-03-28T15:00Z as seen in SDO AIA 131, 171, 193, 304 imagery. A subsequent wide opening of field lines can be observed in SDO AIA 171 and 193 imagery at this time as well.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2025-03-31T10:16Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-03-31T10:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)
Prediction Method Note:
https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/38092/1 Model Inputs: 2025-03-28T15:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-86.0, Lat.=19.0, Speed=1838.0, HalfAngle=37.0, Time21.5=2025-03-28T17:27Z Model Output: Earth Impact: Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2025-03-31T10:00Z (+- 7 hours) (kp)90=3 (kp)180=5 Other Location(s) Impact: OSIRIS-APEX with esitmated shock arrival time 2025-03-29T15:05Z Europa Clipper with esitmated shock arrival time 2025-04-01T14:00Z Lucy with esitmated shock arrival time 2025-04-02T12:00Z Mars with esitmated shock arrival time 2025-04-01T04:00Z Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250328_172700_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250328_172700_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250328_172700_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250328_172700_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250328_172700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250328_172700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250328_172700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250328_172700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250328_172700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250328_172700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250328_172700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250328_172700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250328_172700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Juice_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250328_172700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250328_172700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250328_172700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_EuropaClippr_timeline.gifLead Time: 33.67 hour(s)
Difference: 0.27 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Hannah Hermann (M2M SWAO) on 2025-03-30T00:36Z
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